Saturday, December 15, 2007

Who Should and Will Win Survivor: China?



It all comes down to this: Courtney, Denise, Todd and Amanda will duke it out on tomorrow night's finale of Survivor: China? Who will be named the Sole Survivor?

Todd and Amanda have dominated the game strategically. They were responsible for the handling of the immunity idols, the elimination of John Robert, and the blindsiding of James. If there's any Survivor justice in the world, they should be standing in the final 2.

Notice I say "final 2." Despite the fact that the last two seasons have seen a final 3 go in front of the jury, I'm guessing this season will revert to a duo, as opposed to a trio, going to the finals. I have no proof (except scheduling) to back that up -- it's just a hunch.

As for Denise and Courtney, while both should be commended for making it this far in the game, neither, in my opinion, is worthy of the million dollars. Courtney's strategy may have been to be a whiny bitch with no discernable skill set, and, to her credit, it worked, but that doesn't mean she should get the money. Similarly, Denise laid low and didn't ruffle feathers, and she seems like a truly lovely, salt-of-the-earth human being, but aside from winning two reward challenges (one thanks to Courtney) she made absolutely zero impact on the game. In fact, she had the chance to turn the tides by voting off Todd, and didn't take it, so I just can't see the jury naming her the champ.

Which leaves Todd and Amanda. While I admire the fact that Todd was devious pretty much from the get-go, didn't hide it, and still managed to avoid elimination, I'm more impressed with Amanda's quiet, subtle gameplaying methods. She, too, lied and deceived, but did it in a much more gentle way, as to avoid upsetting too many of her tribemates. She did it well, it worked, and I think it qualifies her for the victory.

And, if she does make it to the final 2, I think the jury will agree, awarding her the win over either Todd, Denise or Courtney. If it's Todd versus Denise or Courtney, it may be hard for the jury to avoid the temptation to give Denise the money, but I think Todd will still pull out a win.

If, somehow, Courtney and Denise are the final pair (not a totally ridiculous notion, considering how well Courtney performed in the last endurance immunity challenge), I believe the jury won't be able to overlook Courtney's bad attitude, and will make Denise $1 million richer.

But, for the record, my prediction of who will and should win Survivor: China is Amanda.

Who do you think should and will win? Leave a comment and let me know.

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